APREX · EST. 2026The market.
Indices, commodities, FX and crypto — in one view. Polling every 5 min.
Risk / market desk.
7/12 instruments trade red in the latest poll.
BTC is at $61,660 with +1.55% over the last day.
Strongest instrument: ETH (+2.70%).
Weakest instrument: Silver (-7.99%).
Latest market analysis: Dollar strengthens at Asia open — EUR/USD at 1.1554 as Chinese inflation falls to six-month low.
Live table.
| INSTRUMENT | LAST | CHANGE | TYPE | SOURCE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indices | ||||
| Oslo Stock Exchange | 2,358.28 | +0.23% | Stooq | |
| S&P 500 | 7,383.70 | -2.64% | Stooq | |
| Nasdaq | 25,709.43 | -4.18% | Stooq | |
| DAX | 24,759.05 | -0.75% | Stooq | |
| Commodities | ||||
| Gold | 4,316.41 USD | -3.55% | Stooq | |
| Silver | 67.99 USD | -7.99% | Stooq | |
| Brent | 93.09 USD | -2.04% | Stooq | |
| FX | ||||
| USD/NOK | 9.4616 | +1.32% | Stooq | |
| EUR/NOK | 10.9060 | +0.56% | Stooq | |
| EUR/USD | 1.1527 | -0.76% | Stooq | |
| Crypto | ||||
| BTC | $61,660 | +1.55% | Stooq | |
| ETH | $1,599 | +2.70% | Stooq | |
Market analyses.
Dollar strengthens at Asia open — EUR/USD at 1.1554 as Chinese inflation falls to six-month low
USD opens slightly stronger against all major currencies Monday morning in Asia. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1554, USD/JPY at 157.79, while China's CPI fell to 0.5% in July — weaker than the expected 0.8% and the lowest reading in six months.
PBOC kjøper 640 000 unser gull i juli — største månedskjøp siden 2023 mens prisen stiger 8%
Kinas sentralbank har gjennomført sitt største månedlige gullkjøp siden oktober 2023, og øker sine offisielle reserver til 76,08 millioner fine troy unser. Gullets spotpris er opp 8% på kort sikt, med analytikere fra Deutsche Bank og State Street som ser kursmål mot $4 700–5 000 innen utgangen av 2026.
Bitcoin squeezed at $65,300 — $102M whale short liquidated as ETF inflows hold the floor
Bitcoin is trading around $64,966 and battling a tight resistance band at $65,300–$65,500. A $102 million whale short was liquidated at exactly this level on Thursday, while three consecutive days of net ETF inflows provide technical support. A risk-off regime keeps sentiment in check.
Bitcoin fights for $65,000 as Pi Network plunges to $0.09 — lack of transparency stifles listing hopes
Bitcoin holds at $64,970 in a risk-off market with Fear & Greed at 30, while Pi Network trades at $0.09 following a drop from its all-time high of $2.99. Only 16 million of 60 million registered users have completed KYC, and tier-1 exchanges continue to keep the door shut.
Central banks reprice lower: RBNZ leads with 85% hike probability while Fed wavers at 54%
A week marked by geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East and falling oil prices below $80 has triggered a broad but moderate dovish repricing across global rate markets. The RBNZ stands out with an 85% probability of a hike at its next meeting, while the Fed's probability has slipped to 54% — leaving the market split.
Eurozone retail sales collapse -0.3% in June — ECB cut bets rise as growth falters
Eurozone retail sales fell 0.3% in June against an expected +0.1%, driven by broad-based declines across food and non-food sectors. The disappointment deepens an already weak activity picture and increases pressure on the ECB for further easing — with direct implications for EUR/USD and European risk assets.
DEX captures 24% of spot market as CEX volume plunges toward 12-month low of $670 billion
Decentralized exchanges are capturing a record 24% share of spot crypto trading while centralized platforms are on track for their lowest monthly volume in a year. A risk-off mood, falling volatility, and structural distrust of CEXes are driving the migration.
US and Japan intervene together for the first time since 2011 — $59 billion deployed to rescue the yen
Tokyo and Washington confirm a historic coordinated currency intervention of up to $59 billion to halt the yen's slide to a 40-year low. The BOJ signals an imminent rate hike, USD/JPY volatility escalates — and markets are waiting for the next move.
The Fed Chief's Secret Inflation Target Could Send Bitcoin to $68,000 — It All Hinges on the 2.2% Figure
Bitcoin is trading near $62,763 as markets price in a 66% probability of a Fed cut in September. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has defined his reaction function around 'underlying inflation' — but refuses to reveal exactly which indicators he weights most heavily. With official inflation measures ranging from 2.2% to 3.7%, uncertainty is at its peak and risk is real in both directions.
Arthur Hayes sells ETH at 5.3% loss — realizes $241,000 deficit in August 1 dump
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes sold 2,364 ETH for $4.3 million on August 1, 2026, realizing a $241,000 loss — just weeks after building up a position of 7,213 ETH at an average entry of $1,923. On-chain data reveals a pattern of repeated buying at highs and selling at lows in a market defined by risk-off sentiment.
GBP/USD breaks 1.3480 — bulls take control with sights set on 1.3557
Sterling bounced back after testing the 100- and 200-day moving averages at 1.3398–1.3400, then broke through the swing level at 1.34797. The next resistance sits at 1.3517, followed by the July high at 1.35573. The macro picture is mixed: risk-off in crypto (BTC at $62,893, F&G 25/100) while sterling holds technically strong.
NZD and AUD surge 1.45% and 1.05% — breaking key retracement levels against a weaker dollar
The kiwi and aussie are leading currency markets on Thursday with the strongest daily gains in several weeks. NZD/USD breaks through the 61.8% retracement and sets its sights on the resistance zone at 0.5881–0.5886, while AUD/USD finally clears the triple rejection level at 0.7022.
Eurozone grows twice as fast as expected: GDP +0.4% in Q2 — ECB keeps its powder dry
Eurozone GDP rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026 — double the consensus estimate of +0.2% — and +1.0% year-on-year against an expected +0.5%. The figures strengthen the ECB's case for keeping rates elevated, with June HICP inflation at 2.8% still running well above the 2% target.
UK households borrowing to survive: Credit card growth at 12.5% — highest since 2009
British mortgage approvals rose to 58,200 in June, but underlying credit data tells a darker story: credit card debt is growing 12.5% annually, the default rate is at its highest level since the financial crisis, and the Bank of England is holding rates at 3.75% while markets price in two hikes by March 2027.
WTI krasjer 7,5% til $82,61 — største daglige fall siden april
Råoljeprisene kollapset mandag da geopolitiske spenninger lettet og tekniske støttenivåer brøt sammen. WTI falt $6,70 til $82,61 — det kraftigste enkeltdagsfallet siden april 17. Neste tekniske støtte ligger ved $80,30, og ytterligere nedsiderisiko ned mot $77–79-sonen.
Currency markets start the week cautiously optimistic — AUD leads with +0.33% as Iran tensions ease
Risk sentiment improves Monday morning after the Iran conflict takes a pause. AUD/USD climbs back above the 0.70 handle, CHF is the week's biggest mover so far, and oil prices signal a 3% drop at the open. USD/JPY holds near fresh highs at 163.67 — but markets know the peace is fragile.
Shiba Inu surges 36% in 24 hours — South Korean retail traders drive mysterious rally with no catalyst
SHIB shoots 36% higher with no concrete news driver — Upbit dominates volume, whale accumulation accelerates, and exchange reserves fall to a record low of 86 trillion tokens. But in a broadly risk-off market with Fear & Greed at 26 and Bitcoin below $65,000, the rally raises as many questions as it answers.
Bitcoin drops below $64,000 — $240M in ETF outflows and weakening stablecoin inflows push BTC down 4% from weekly peak
Bitcoin is trading around $64,286 on Friday, down nearly $4,000 from its weekly high, after spot ETFs reported $240 million in net outflows in a single day. Stablecoin inflows to exchanges are at their weakest since 2025, with monthly average inflows down to $2.3 billion — well below the $5.6 billion seen at the previous ATH. Risk-off sentiment dominates.
XRP drops 70% from peak as spot demand climbs to highest since June — $1.10 is critical support
XRP is trading around $1.14 with spot demand at its highest level since June, but RSI signals overbought conditions and resistance is stacked up toward $1.21. The coin remains down 69% from its July 2025 peak of $3.65, and delays to the CLARITY Act are weighing on sentiment.
Tesla-SpaceX merger on the table: TSLA shareholders could face up to 50% dilution — here's the math
Elon Musk declined to rule out a merger between Tesla and SpaceX on the Q2 earnings call on July 22. With SpaceX valued at $1.8 trillion versus Tesla's $1.5 trillion, a pure stock deal could cut existing shareholders' ownership in half. Prediction market Kalshi prices in a 50% probability of a merger before May 2027.
Nasdaq slides 0.64% as Dow recovers — Sandisk crashes 11% and tech rotation continues
Friday, July 24, 2026 ended with a split market: the Dow Jones rose 0.46% to 51,947, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.64% to 24,976 amid continued pressure in the technology sector. Sandisk plunged 11% after weak results, and semiconductors have now fallen more than 5% over the past month. The rotation out of growth stocks and into defensives continues.
WTI explodes 12.9% in one week to $92.31 — Hormuz and the Red Sea simultaneously priced as loss risks
September WTI futures traded Thursday at $92.31 after a weekly gain of 12.89% — the strongest weekly surge in years. The market is no longer pricing one damaged chokepoint, but a global supply chain with dramatically fewer alternative export routes. Brent is following suit, and energy-intensive sectors are feeling the pressure immediately.
Bitcoin falls 0.7% to $65,877 — Clarity Act progress cushions but fails to offset macro pressure
The crypto market closed muted on Tuesday, July 22. Bitcoin settled at $65,877 after a 0.7% decline, as traders balanced legislative optimism around the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act against persistent inflation concerns and risk-off sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index at 33/100 signals continued caution.
UK core inflation refuses to fall — BoE held at 3.75% as markets price in 'higher for longer'
UK core inflation surprised to the upside in June, holding steady at 2.6% against an expected 2.5%, while services price growth of 3.6% remained stubbornly above estimates. The Bank of England is expected to hold rates at 3.75% at its July 30 meeting, with a risk-off mood weighing on asset classes.
Micron surges 12% and lifts Nasdaq 1.3% — semiconductor rally breaks three-day losing streak
The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.29% to 25,837 on Monday, July 21, after Micron Technology shot up 12% and pulled the semiconductor sector along with it. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones followed in a rally that ended three consecutive days of losses, even as geopolitical uncertainty and trade concerns continue to simmer beneath the surface.
EUR/USD stuck between 1.1400 and 1.1450 — options barriers and rising Treasury yields keep the dollar in the driver's seat
EUR/USD is trading in a tight 50-pip band on Monday, July 21, squeezed between two major options levels ahead of the 10am New York cut. Rising Treasury yields and persistent US-Iran tensions are keeping the dollar supported, while technical pressure is concentrated around the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages in the 1.1428–1.1437 region.
IBM Crashes 25% in a Single Day — $70 Billion in Market Cap Wiped Out as AI Budgets Flow to Rivals
IBM shares fell more than 25% in July 2026, erasing roughly $70 billion in market capitalization after the company lost critical AI contracts. The ghost of the Watson debacle continues to haunt market confidence — even as global AI spending hits all-time highs.
Bitcoin klemmes under $65 556 — nøkkelresistanse holder for tredje gang på to uker
Bitcoin kjemper mot $65 556-veggen etter et svakt brudd-forsøk fredag. Tekniske indikatorer viser supertrend-støtte på timegrafen, men manglende volum og et avslagsmønster som nå er tre tester gammel gjør at markedet trenger en klar daglig close over nivået for å overbevise.
Solana surpasses 300,000 RWA holders and $3.6 billion in tokenized assets — Circle adds $250M in liquidity
Solana is cementing its position as the leading blockchain for tokenized real-world assets, with over 300,000 wallet holders, $8.68 billion in 30-day transfer volume, and BlackRock's BUIDL fund placing $615 million in the network. SOL is trading at $74.56 with a critical supply wall between $79 and $85.
S&P 500 falls 1% and Nasdaq loses 1.4% — semiconductor stocks drag technology lower for second consecutive day
Wall Street closed deep in the red on Thursday, July 17, as a broad semiconductor selloff accelerated and pulled the Nasdaq down 1.40% to 25,520. The S&P 500 lost 1.02% to 7,457, while the Dow Jones escaped with a relatively moderate decline of 0.77% to 52,146.