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Fed official warns: Asset prices too high – ready to surprise the market
Federal Reserve's Alberto Musalem sent a clear signal that the central bank is willing to go against market expectations if inflation risks demand it – and he believes financial conditions are far too loose.

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Commodities
Eurozone retail sales collapse -0.3% in June — ECB cut bets rise as growth falters
Eurozone retail sales fell 0.3% in June against an expected +0.1%, driven by broad-based declines across food and non-food sectors. The disappointment deepens an already weak activity picture and increases pressure on the ECB for further easing — with direct implications for EUR/USD and European risk assets.

Iran and Oman Near Historic Deal on the Strait of Hormuz
Iran and Oman are, according to Iranian authorities, in the final stages of negotiations over joint management of the Strait of Hormuz – one of the world's most critical oil corridors. Meanwhile, crude oil prices are falling.

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